Fire SuzakuTier 1
at 0907(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點_店冠賽
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-5-1
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1339
· median 1339
· range 1240–1438
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1205
Q3 1402
1539
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 28.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +1.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.3% | -6.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Fire Suited | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Slimes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
